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Paweł Lickiewicz

Azerbaijan: 16.07.2011 Nothing Changes in Nagorno-Karabakh until 2012

Eduard Antiniani, representative of the Armenian Democratic Liberal Party, said that negotiations on peace process in Nagorno-Karabakh region did not produce a breakthrough, any agreement between presidents Ilham Laiyev and Serzh Sargsyan notwithstanding.

In his opinion the Nagorno-Karabakh problem could be settled only if superpowers were willing to change status quo in the region. It could happen when the United States and Russia developed consistent approach to Iran. In such case a possible agreement cannot be reached due to the forthcoming presidential election in Russia in 2012 – no one knows right now who will be the decision maker in the Kremlin.

Kashatagh region, Nagorno-Karabakh, author: Onnik Krikorian, source:

Beginning an actual peace process is connected with peacekeeping force entering the disputed territory. According to Antinian, Iran will not allow international corps to be sent to the region. Even if foreign military units were stationed in Nagorno-Karabakh, it could lead to closing the Iranian-Armenian border and further political tensions.

The director of the Moscow Institute of Political and Social Studies in the Black Sea and Caspian Region Vladimir Zakharov believes that resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh issue is blocked by the United States. According to him, the U.S. did not abandon plans of war with Iran, which is possible in 2012.


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Redaktor Naczelny portalu 2012-2014. Absolwent Instytutu Europeistyki na Wydziale Dziennikarstwa i Nauk Politycznych w Warszawie. Stypendysta programu LLP Erasmus na malowniczo brzmiącym Eötvös Loránd Tudományegyetem w Budapeszcie. Gdy się zorientował, że będzie kolejnym humanisto-politologiem, skręcił na Wschód i zaczął specjalizować się w tematyce Europy Wschodniej, Kaukazu i Azji Centralnej. Uwielbia podróże i koszykówkę. Nie przepada za operowaniem absolutami.

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